Triple Crown Throwdown: Runhappy Ellis Park Derby


Ed DeRosa of takes on TDN's Steve Sherack and Brian DiDonato as they handicap Triple Crown prep races plus the big three races themselves. The three will make $100 Win/Place bets in the preps and $200 Win/Place bets in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont. Highest bankroll at the end wins.

DeRosa – Bankroll: $5230 – GI Runhappy Travers S. ResultTiz the Law stamped himself as the Kentucky Derby favorite.

Runhappy Ellis Park Derby Art Collector has done everything right as a 3-year-old. He's stretched out, he's stalked, he's pounced, he's drawn off. This is an impressive horse to watch race. He doesn't idle, he doesn't wait on competition, he doesn't get lazy. He's all business and it's led to devastating wins over good competition. There's no reason to think that will not continue as his path to the Kentucky Derby winds through the Pea Patch. My hope for this weekend is that both Tiz the Law and Art Collector win as impressively as they have in their other starts this year to set up an incredible showdown beneath the TwinSpires in 27 days. Selection: #4 Art Collector (4-5).

Sherack – Bankroll: $3800 – GI Runhappy Travers S. Result -Now that was impressive. Tiz the Law is certainly the real deal.

Runhappy Ellis Park Derby – Art Collector isn't supposed to lose this race, but I'm running out of time to find a longshot. I made my case for Sprawl in the GIII Ohio Derby, and while he didn't run awful, he didn't post the breakthrough performance I was looking for, either. I'll try him one more time at what has to be a much bigger price than that 3-1 he was last time. Selection: #3 Sprawl (15-1). 

DiDonato – Bankroll: $5500 – GI Runhappy Travers S. Result – Wow—that was really something. Expected Tiz the Law to win, but didn't imagine him winning like THAT.

Runhappy Ellis Park Derby – I might regret it, but I just couldn't chalk out three times in a row. Art Collector's the most likely winner, but this is very much a prep for him given where he stands on points. He's worked out extremely good trips in all three wins since the trainer change, and it's possible that he could get sucked into a solid early pace this time. If the pace does get hot, Shared Sense is the horse I want. He seems to be on the improve and clearly likes the distance. Admittedly, the post isn't great for this configuration. Selection: #12 Shared Sense (12-1).

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