Derby Top 12

The TDN Derby Top 12 for Feb. 19

That rumbling noise you heard over the weekend was the first seasonal shifting within the Top 12 rankings, sort of like an early spring thaw that finally calves the iceberg. Five horses have leapfrogged onto the list since its last publication, and we're now at the 75-day mark to the GI Kentucky Derby.   1) THOUSAND WORDS (c, Pioneerof the Nile--Pomeroys Pistol, by Pomeroy) O-Albaugh Family Stables & Spendthrift Farm. B-Hardacre Farm (Fl). T-Bob Baffert. Sales History: $1,000,000 yrl '18 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: MGSW, 3-3-0-0, $211,000. Last Start: 1st GIII...

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 For February 4

Stakes preps for the GI Kentucky Derby in Florida and California yielded some separation at the top of the totem pole last Saturday. This coming weekend will likely feature three Top 12 horses in action, which could create some mid-level movement on the list. 1) THOUSAND WORDS (c, Pioneerof the Nile--Pomeroys Pistol, by Pomeroy) O-Albaugh Family Stables & Spendthrift Farm. B-Hardacre Farm (Fl). T-Bob Baffert. Sales History: $1,000,000 yrl '18 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: MGSW, 3-3-0-0, $211,000. Last Start: 1st GIII Robert B. Lewis S., SA, Feb. 1 Accomplishments Include: 1st...

[ Read More ]
The TDN Derby Top 12 for Jan. 28

Three prominent GI Kentucky Derby prep stakes are on the docket for Saturday in New York, Florida and California as we await the first major blockbuster performance of the season that upends the pecking order. 1) THOUSAND WORDS (c, Pioneerof the Nile--Pomeroys Pistol, by Pomeroy) O-Albaugh Family Stables & Spendthrift Farm. B-Hardacre Farm (Fl). T-Bob Baffert. Sales History: $1,000,000 yrl '18 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: GSW, 2-2-0-0, $151,000. Last Start: 1st GII Los Alamitos Futurity, LRC, Dec. 7 Next Start: GIII Bob Lewis S., SA, Feb. 1 Equineline PPs. KY Derby...

[ Read More ]
The TDN Derby Top 12 for Jan. 14

The Top 12 right now resembles an evenly matched marathon. There is no breakaway leader, no odds-on favorite, and the main threats are all keeping an eye on one another waiting for the first bold move. Feb. 1 looms as the next significant shakeup date, when Road to the GI Kentucky Derby points races will be run in New York, Florida and California. 1) THOUSAND WORDS (c, Pioneerof the Nile--Pomeroys Pistol, by Pomeroy) O-Albaugh Family Stables & Spendthrift Farm. B-Hardacre Farm (FL). T-Bob Baffert. Sales History: $1,000,000 yrl '18 KEESEP....

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 for Dec. 31

It's the first installment of the 2020 TDN Derby Top 12, and chaos and uncertainty are the prevailing (but intriguing) themes. Betting favorites have gone down in defeat in the last seven "Road to the GI Kentucky Derby" preps, and there is no clear consensus on which 2-year-olds represent the top of the crop. But it's plenty early--we're 125 days from post time for the first leg of the Triple Crown. 1) THOUSAND WORDS (c, Pioneerof the Nile--Pomeroys Pistol, by Pomeroy) O-Albaugh Family Stables & Spendthrift Farm. B-Hardacre Farm (Fl)....

[ Read More ]
The TDN Derby Wrap

by T.D. Thornton This week's TDN Triple Crown feature examines the GI Kentucky Derby runners according to official finish position. The focus is on raw trip notes--not the merits of whether a disqualification should or should not have been called. Interesting bloodstock note: Homebreds crossed the wire 1-2-3-4. 1) COUNTRY HOUSE (c, Lookin At Lucky--Quake Lake, by War Chant) 'TDN Rising Star'. O-Mrs. J. V. Shields, Jr., E. J. M. McFadden, Jr. & LNJ Foxwoods. B-J. V. Shields, Jr. (KY). T-William I. Mott. Lifetime Record: GISW, 7-2-2-1, $2,120,175. 'TDN Rising...

[ Read More ]
The TDN Derby Top 20

The last couple of anticipatory days prior to the GI Kentucky Derby can seem like a longer wait than the entire six-month prep season that preceded it. Here are the final TDN rankings, listed in "likeliest winner" order: [Editor's Note: This list was compiled before the major announcement late Wednesday that likely favorite Omaha Beach--who Thornton had ranked number one--was scratched. Omaha Beach has been removed from the rankings and all other horses have been moved up one slot.] 1) GAME WINNER (c, Candy Ride {Arg}--Indyan Giving, by A.P. Indy)...

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 for April 23

We're now inside the two-week mark for the May 4 GI Kentucky Derby and big jumps in the pecking order have given way to behind-the-scenes strategizing, jockey intrigue, and the intensity of big-race anticipation. Please note the rankings below are independent from the "Road to the Derby" points leaderboard Churchill Downs uses to determine starting berths. That list can be accessed here. 1) OMAHA BEACH (c, War Front--Charming, by Seeking the Gold) O-Fox Hill Farms, Inc. B-Charming Syndicate (KY). T-Richard Mandella. Sales History: $625,000 RNA Ylg '17 KEESEP. Lifetime Record:...

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 for Apr. 16

The long prep season is over, and now the racing world locks its focus on the main event, the May 4 GI Kentucky Derby. Please note the rankings below are independent from the "Road to the Derby" points leaderboard Churchill Downs uses to determine starting berths. That list can be accessed here. 1) OMAHA BEACH (c, War Front--Charming, by Seeking the Gold) O-Fox Hill Farms, Inc. B-Charming Syndicate (KY). T-Richard Mandella. Sales History: $625,000 RNA Ylg '17 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: GISW, 7-3-3-1, $1,121,800. Last Start: 1st, GI Arkansas Derby, OP,...

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 for April 9

Now that the big "power weekend" of nine-furlong preps is behind us, what's changed since the Top 12 rankings debuted on Dec. 28? The No. 1 kingpin remains the same (even though the juvenile champ lost that spot for a brief bit this winter). The season-starting No. 2 horse has been shuffled back to No. 10, and the horse who opened at No. 3 remains right there (but could leapfrog the field as the likely favorite for this Saturday's lone remaining Grade I prep). Please note the rankings below are...

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 for Apr. 2

With three major nine-furlong stakes upcoming this weekend, the first Saturday in April is usually when the sophomore division attains a new level of clarity. It had better. Favorites have now gone down in flames in nine consecutive Road to the GI Kentucky Derby qualifying points races run on United States dirt tracks, and only one of the top five horses in this week's rankings won his last start. If a dominant division leader doesn't emerge this weekend, it might be time to embrace the chaos rather than fight it....

[ Read More ]
TDN Derby Top 12 for Mar. 26

Another weekend of preps for the GI Kentucky Derby is in the books, and favorites continue to stumble through March without posting authoritative victories that match their odds. But the calendar from here on out is loaded with nine-furlong opportunities, perhaps providing some separation between the true contenders and the early spring pretenders. 1) GAME WINNER (c, Candy Ride {Arg}--Indyan Giving, by A.P. Indy) 'TDN Rising Star'. O-Gary & Mary West. B-Summer Wind Equine (KY). T-Bob Baffert. Sales History: $110,000 Ylg '17 KEESEP. Lifetime Record: MGISW, 5-4-1-0, $1,646,000. Last Start:...

[ Read More ]