TwinSpires.com Road to the Triple Crown Throwdown: Arkansas Derby & Bluegrass

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Ed DeRosa of TwinSpires.com takes on TDN’s Steve Sherack and Brian DiDonato as they handicap each prep race leading up to the GI Kentucky Derby. The three will make $100 Win/Place bets -highest bankroll after Apr. 14 wins.

DeROSA: Last Week’s Results: Bolt d’Oro was second in the Santa Anita Derby, but neither Old Time Revival nor Blended Citizen made an impact in their respective races. DeROSA BANKROLL: $4290.

GI Arkansas Derby – I think the prices on the top two will be more separated than the morning line suggests with Magnum Moon dropping and Solomini hopefully drifting, and I’ll take the bigger price on him turning the tables on the Rebel results. Selection: #5 Solomini (2-1).

GIII Lexington S. – I love that Greyvitos has been pointing for this race and connections have not let Derby fever get the best of them. As it turns out, even a win won’t be good enough for a Derby berth, but this horse flashed brilliance at two and coming in fresh here I think will help him get the jump on My Boy Jack with the short stretch helping his trip. Selection: #6 Greyvitos (6-1).

SHERACK: Last Week’s Results – Neither of my two longshots Tiz Mischief or King Zachary fired and Bolt d’Oro was second-best. SHERACK BANKROLL: $2380.

GI Arkansas Derby – The unbeaten Magnum Moon returns to the site of his ultra-impressive Rebel score and has continued to train impressively since. Would love to back a price here, but just can’t come up with a sound argument to play against this one. Selection: #6 Magnum Moon (8-5).

GIII Lexington S.Telekinesis looked like he could be any kind in his debut win sprinting at Fair Grounds, then took pressure throughout in his two-turn try against older horses and reported home third as the heavy favorite. He’s well-drawn on the inside and should work out a perfect, stalking trip this time around. Selection: #2 Telekinesis (4-1).

DiDONATO: Last Week’s Results: Bolt d’Oro and Enticed were simply second best in their respective races, but the former might still have a big say at Churchill. Zing Zang was always far back. Just two more chances to catch Ed… DiDONATO BANKROLL: $3635.

GI Arkansas Derby – I wonder if Magnum Moon is simply too good for this bunch, but I think I’m better off taking a bigger price here from a game theory perspective. I loved the way Tenfold finished up in his debut, and while I wish he’d won his second start by more, the horse he beat is ok and he still has every right to take a big step forward in just his third lifetime start. Added ground can’t hurt. Selection: #3 Tenfold (10-1).

GIII Lexington S. – His morning line quote seems a bit ambitious, but I’m pretty high on Greyvitos. His two big stakes wins last year seem legit, and he really doesn’t have to get much faster to get the job done. The pace should be honest, so hopefully he’s not too keen off the layoff and he can settle into a stalking trip. Selection: #6 Greyvitos (6-1).

 

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